Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.528047 3.744764 3.976959 4.245873 4.550856 4.888613 5.294687
2025-06-08 3.188494 3.475124 3.798495 4.195634 4.678030 5.256064 6.019594
2025-06-15 2.963400 3.298462 3.692681 4.201694 4.859488 5.709949 6.949893
2025-06-22 2.725256 3.078774 3.507451 4.082051 4.861475 5.934807 7.644886
2025-06-29 2.510222 2.866551 3.308325 3.917467 4.775741 6.020589 8.165402
2025-07-06 2.362339 2.725159 3.184578 3.835757 4.789014 6.249126 8.996699
2025-07-13 2.314716 2.706112 3.215869 3.966251 5.126233 7.055194 11.256757
2025-07-20 2.244646 2.651380 3.192910 4.014713 5.344506 7.724389 13.731535
2025-07-27 2.224883 2.661036 3.257637 4.198513 5.815531 9.026673 19.380754
2025-08-03 2.183607 2.637516 3.271964 4.304719 6.174234 10.265772 27.796582
2025-08-10 2.104377 2.555833 3.194582 4.253458 6.230400 10.832210 35.470819
2025-08-17 1.999119 2.432169 3.047218 4.072711 6.006476 10.601147 37.370682
2025-08-24 1.916541 2.343858 2.957851 3.999892 6.026842 11.173265 52.612850
2025-08-31 1.849118 2.274293 2.893062 3.964219 6.123445 12.067164 97.120300
2025-09-07 1.797889 2.225588 2.857185 3.976043 6.330083 13.524334 857.887613
2025-09-14 1.725428 2.142291 2.762097 3.872119 6.256659 13.949906 NaN
2025-09-21 1.649246 2.050412 2.648682 3.725359 6.060072 13.785159 NaN
2025-09-28 1.594102 1.987564 2.578226 3.652633 6.031556 14.373653 NaN
2025-10-05 1.581991 1.988114 2.608992 3.772826 6.510856 18.078961 NaN
2025-10-12 1.555884 1.966081 2.601256 3.817815 6.812679 21.673588 NaN
2025-10-19 1.552873 1.978913 2.651830 3.985479 7.526143 31.902318 NaN
2025-10-26 1.537252 1.971253 2.666944 4.082201 8.075724 47.168960 NaN
2025-11-02 1.500050 1.928093 2.618107 4.036059 8.136037 56.048373 NaN